Swine Projections

Swine Projections

Form-A-Feed provides monthly swine feeding projections to keep you in tune with the ever-changing market conditions and how these changes come together to affect profitability.  We have developed a profit analysis program called Results Driven Solutions (RDS) to assess customer profitability given a set of costs, production parameters, and market prices.  We have used this on a customer specific basis to improve decision making in purchasing open market pigs as well as for determining the correct feeding program and marketing strategy.  Listed below is a more broad analysis of current conditions in today's marketplace.  Please contact your Form-A-Feed Representative for profit analysis specific to your operation.

March 20, 2017 Hog Feeding Projections.pdf

March 13, 2017 Hog Feeding Projections.pdf

Changes week over week:

  • Open-market weaned pigs continued their slide (-$3.28/head), while continued strength in the lean hogs’ market is the likely driver in higher feeder pig prices (+$2.35/head).
  • Predicted lean hog values fell sharply for weaned pig marketings for the third consecutive week (-$2.00-3.00/cwt) as nearly all pigs placed this week will now market off the much lower October contract. Predicted feeder pig market values were down modestly (-$1.18/cwt).
  • Feed costs were up slightly (+$0.30-0.40/pig): corn +$0.07/bushel, SBM -$3.00/ton, DDGS -$4.00/ton, Lysine -$0.84/cwt, and fat unchanged.
  • With expected marketing prices falling faster than open-market purchase prices, weaned pig profit outlook is now firmly in the red (-$0.50-3.00/head). Smaller changes compounded to a significant negative to predicted feeder pig profitability (-$5.00/head).